Will an mRNA vaccine for cancer be available by 2024?
36
296
860
2025
9%
chance

Will mRNA technology be used to implement a commercially available vaccine for cancer (any type) by the end of 2024?

Further reading here:

[1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35835100/

[2] https://molecular-cancer.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12943-021-01335-5

[3] https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2021.679344/full

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bought Ṁ60 of NO

I think they'll work but phase 3 will be at least two years long and it hasn't started yet.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Even if there was something known to work right now, it would take longer than two years (probably longer than 5) to get through the FDA

sold Ṁ24 of YES
bought Ṁ25 of YES

Moderna's CEO recently said that "what we’re doing now is comparing [Merck’s] Keytruda immunotherapy with Moderna [mRNA vaccine] plus Keytruda. We’ll share that data in the fourth quarter"
https://www.wsj.com/articles/modernas-ceo-on-its-new-covid-19-booster-prospects-for-cancer-vaccines-11663339811?st=p9hfwwo5y886buu&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink