When will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven?
2
Ṁ150Ṁ502068
July 13, 2043
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
2026
21%
2030
21%
2040
21%
2050
21%
2067
Personal judgement. All options resolve N/A if not by June 7, 2067.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
20% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
20% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
17% chance
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto
Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?
42% chance
Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
17% chance
Is Satoshi Nakamoto a single person?
73% chance
Is Peter Todd Satoshi Nakamoto?
6% chance