When will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven?
7
Ṁ150Ṁ2502068
April 12, 2049
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10%
2026
17%
2030
17%
2040
21%
2050
36%
2067
Personal judgement. All options resolve N/A if not by June 7, 2067.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will the documentary "Finding Satoshi" name as Satoshi Nakamoto?
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
56% chance
Will the upcoming documentary "Finding Satoshi" actually find Satoshi?
14% chance
Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
29% chance
If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
33% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
49% chance
Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?
48% chance