Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on a Saudi embassy or consulate before 2025?
14
34
Ṁ349Ṁ360
2025
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has launched an attack including at least 12 drones within a period of 48 hours on a Saudi embassy or consulate (outside of Saudi Arabia). This must occur between April 14th 2024 and December 31st 2024.
Related question for Saudi proper:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Iran attack Israel with another drone, missile or airstrike before the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
42% chance
Will Saudi Arabia normalise relations with Israel before 2025?
24% chance
Will Saudi Arabia and Israel establish diplomatic relations before 2025?
24% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
20% chance
Will the US attack Iran by May 15th 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on Saudi Arabia before 2025?
33% chance
Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Sep 2024?
12% chance
Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Jun 2024?
4% chance
Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?
51% chance