Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on Saudi Arabia before 2025?
Basic
10
Ṁ228Mar 5
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has launched an attack including at least 12 drones within a period of 48 hours on the territory of Saudi Arabia. This must occur between April 14th 2024 and December 31st 2024.
A drone attack on a Saudi embassy or consulate outside of Saudi Arabia is excluded in the context of this question.
Related question for embassies/consulates:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on a Saudi embassy or consulate before 2025?
16% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
22% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Iran possess a nuke before 2025?
5% chance
Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
44% chance
Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
18% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
6% chance