Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on Saudi Arabia before 2025?
Mini
9
198
2025
21%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has launched an attack including at least 12 drones within a period of 48 hours on the territory of Saudi Arabia. This must occur between April 14th 2024 and December 31st 2024.

A drone attack on a Saudi embassy or consulate outside of Saudi Arabia is excluded in the context of this question.

Related question for embassies/consulates:

/RemNi/will-iran-launch-a-significant-dron-b740bff9cc37

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