MANIFOLD
Will either of the men’s 1500m or Mile world records be broken by the end of the 2028 Summer Olympics?
3
Ṁ1kṀ300
2028
37%
chance

Both world records are currently held by Moroccan athlete Hicham el Guerrouj, and have stood since the late 1990s. For reference, they are:

1500m - 3:26:00

Mike - 3:43.13

This market resolves YES if any runner runs a World Athletics-sanctioned time faster than either of these records before the closing ceremony of the 2028 Summer Olympics, and NO otherwise. In the event that the 2028 Olympics are delayed or cancelled, this market will resolve on August 31, 2028.

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