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MANIFOLD
2028 US Presidential Election's ultimate bellwether: will the winner of this state win the presidency?
2
Ṁ1kṀ210
2028
63%
Pennsylvania
59%
Michigan
59%
Wisconsin
59%
Georgia
59%
North Carolina
59%
Arizona
59%
Nevada
59%
New Hampshire
59%
Ohio
59%
Minnesota

Each answer the resolves independently from each other.

Resolves YES for a state, if the person who wins the state wins the 2028 United States Presidential Election.

Example: if democrats win Georgia while republicans win Pennsylvania, with the end result being a Democratic President, then Georgia resolves YES while Pennsylvania resolves NO.

You may add new answers on this market, but do note that non competitive states are discouraged because they will just be equivalent to the default "which party wins this state" market.

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