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MANIFOLD
When will the first anti-AGI terror attack occur?
10
Ṁ540Ṁ349
2040
31%
Other
21%
Never, AGI kills all humans first
4%
2023
7%
2024
8%
2025
11%
2026
18%
2027
Will be resolved if an attack resulting in the death of at least one human by another human is reported from at least five sources and that death is claimed by either the killer or a group who claims the attack for the purpose of raising awareness of AI safety or for preventing the development of an artificial general intelligence.
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No option for "after 2027 but humanity isn't wiped out". AGI powerful enough to be existential threat being achieved in a couple years is not that likely to be assumed.

This is going way too much in the direction of assassination market and I don't like this
@JoyVoid You don't like this.

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