There will be no major "psyop" between Nov. 5 and Nov 10th regarding the election.

Basic

Ṁ654

2025

43%

chance

ALL

IF there is anything suspect, like massive power outages, or machines breaking down or anything massive that is widely recognized as a potential "psyop" regarding the election this resolves to NO.

Some examples:

Many voting machines malfunctioning
Anything widespread prohibiting ballot access
Anything in a legislative nature from an official state government delaying or blocking access to vote tallies to where the final winner can't be announced.
Similar edge cases at my and the community's joint discretion.
Widespread, suspect power outages is another widely speculated potential psyop, for example.

The YES resolves if there is no psyop.

If you believe there will be no major psyop even widely speculated regarding this election you would wager on "YES".

If there is no major psyop being speculated in the news or trending on X, this will resolve to YES.

If there is, I'll reference said psyop or speculation thereof and resolve this to NO.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ65 NO

There's bomb threats in Arizona, Atlanta and now DeKalb County Georgia who shut down their precincts -- allegedly bomb

threats originating from Russia. Not close to triggering a NO but we're accumulating data, here.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Bomb threats reported in Atlanta voting locations, as per CNN:
https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/2024-election-trump-harris#cm34wuev1002k3b5v050tai1h

bought Ṁ10 NO

How would this have resolved in 2020?

@Marnix YES. There was no widespread officially regarded psyop in 2020, by most ppls standards, I think is fair to say. Speculations, sure. But this has to be validated and locked in psyop caught red-handed type behavior.

Widely acknowledged by whom? It's a little sus that you've posted 3 links all from hard RW twitter accounts that tend towards conspiracy and engagement bait. Makes me think twice about betting on this market.

@VandelayIndustries listen George, they're not conclusive. they're tips for traders. feel free to post your own links. Widespread is widespread. We're nowhere near that. Ok trade on!

@VandelayIndustries if any of the claims at these links are proven incorrect i'll promptly remove or edit them

bought Ṁ10 YES

Monitoring:
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1853873100057645093

we have a gas leak reported in a voting location in MIchigan.
This is not wide-spread enough to have two un-related isolated events but it is escalating early:
https://x.com/GeneralMCNews/status/1853869805498937397

voting machines are reported to be down in one county in PA.
This is not enough to trigger a NO.
A valid psyop has to be widespread and widely acknowledged.
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1853812224160080104

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