https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_World_Cup_2025
Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Quarter-finals clarification: Quarter-finals refers to Round 6 (not Round 5), when 8 players remain and 4 will be eliminated at the end of that round.
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Player nationality will be determined by FIDE country affiliation, not country of residence.
Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For all ratings-related markets, FIDE's official top lists will be used as the source: https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open
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We will use this list for all ratings related markets: https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open
@Ram_N So what's the difference between the two markets about a player under 2700 rating being in the finals?
@DanielTilkin The second market was created by another user. They are the same as far as I can see, unless I'm missing something
@marvingardens While Hari does reside in Prague/Czech, his FIDE country affiliation is India. For this market, we will use each player's FIDE country affiliation. Levon is, therefore, a US player.
"27%
At least one of the three Indian players (Gukesh, Arjun, Pragg) will reach the Final of the FIDE World Cup?"
@Ram_N All of the questions which say "reach the Quarter-finals (Round 5)" have a problem. The quarterfinals are round 6, not round 5. There's 8 rounds total. The structure is the same as last time, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_World_Cup_2023#Rounds_5%E2%80%938.
@DanielTilkin Thank you for catching that, Daniel. My bad. I've edited it to say Round 6. Just to be super clear, when I say quarter-finals, I mean that 8 players are left, and 4 will be eliminated at the end of the QF round.
Thank you again.