FIDE Chess World Cup 2025 Goa - Prop Bets
38
1.4kṀ16k
Nov 26
90%
Andrey Esipenko Qualifies for the 2026 Candidates
76%
Final: Wei Yi beats Sindarov
18%
Nodirbek Yakubboev qualifies for the 2026 Candidates
10%
Will two players from the same country both qualify to the Candidates?
Resolved
YES
Round 6: Will an unseeded player (Seed #51 or higher) reach the Quarter-finals?
Resolved
YES
Round 6: Will an American player reach the Quarterfinals?
Resolved
YES
Round 3: Sam Shankland beats Vidit Gujrathi
Resolved
YES
Round 3: Levon Aronian beats Saleh Salem
Resolved
YES
Round 4: Can Peter Leko take Arjun to the tie-breaks (1-1 after std games)?
Resolved
YES
Round 4: Aronian beats Wojtaszek
Resolved
YES
Round 4: Esipenko manages to beat Vincent Keymer
Resolved
YES
Round 4: Liem Le beats Karthik Venkatraman
Resolved
YES
Round 4: Harikrishna beats Nils Grandelius
Resolved
YES
Round 4: Dubov v Pragg goes to the tie-breaks.
Resolved
YES
Round 4: At least one of Gabriel Sargissian, Aleksey Grebnev, Karthik Venkataraman, or Lorenzo Lodici win their matches
Resolved
YES
Round 4: Jose Martinez beats Alexey Sarana
Resolved
YES
Round 5: Daniil Dubov - Shankland goes to tie-breaks
Resolved
YES
Will Arjun vs. Wei Yi go to tiebreaks?
Resolved
YES
Round 6: (QF) Sindarov beats Jose Martinez (MEX)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_World_Cup_2025

  • Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Quarter-finals clarification: Quarter-finals refers to Round 6 (not Round 5), when 8 players remain and 4 will be eliminated at the end of that round.

  • Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Player nationality will be determined by FIDE country affiliation, not country of residence.

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@BURNTramenNoOdLeS yes, Caruana and Nakamura will qualify.

bought Ṁ10 NO

We will use this list for all ratings related markets: https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open

@Ram_N So what's the difference between the two markets about a player under 2700 rating being in the finals?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@DanielTilkin The second market was created by another user. They are the same as far as I can see, unless I'm missing something

bought Ṁ198 NO

2 Indian players can’t meet in round 7 because two remaining ones are on opposite sides of the bracket

And two Russian players can't meet in round 7 because all three of them that remain are in the same quarter of the bracket! The duality of man.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Harikrishna is a Czech player, then?

@marvingardens While Hari does reside in Prague/Czech, his FIDE country affiliation is India. For this market, we will use each player's FIDE country affiliation. Levon is, therefore, a US player.

@Ram_N

"27%

At least one of the three Indian players (Gukesh, Arjun, Pragg) will reach the Final of the FIDE World Cup?"

bought Ṁ10 NO

All: I've added a few markets for Round 3

@Ram_N All of the questions which say "reach the Quarter-finals (Round 5)" have a problem. The quarterfinals are round 6, not round 5. There's 8 rounds total. The structure is the same as last time, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chess_World_Cup_2023#Rounds_5%E2%80%938.

@DanielTilkin Thank you for catching that, Daniel. My bad. I've edited it to say Round 6. Just to be super clear, when I say quarter-finals, I mean that 8 players are left, and 4 will be eliminated at the end of the QF round.

Thank you again.

🤖

Meowdy! This market has juicy props on Indian talent and surprise runs, plus country clashes. I’ll scratch my whiskers and revisit with deeper data tonight to sharpen my takes! :3

@MiaCat so do you actually revisit markets when you say stuff like this?

@MiaCat miacat dont abandon us

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