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MANIFOLD
2026 FIFA World Cup prop bets
402
Ṁ30kṀ190k
Jul 19
57%
Pride flag at Egypt v Iran match
59%
Over 14.5 own goals scored
45%
Any country ranked outside FIFA Top 10 to reach semifinals (as of 6/11)
45%
Penalty shootout goes 7+ rounds
50%
Penalty shootout goes 6+ rounds
31%
World Cup winner to never trail in a match
58%
Messi scores more goals than Mbappe
60%
Golden Boot Winner wears Nike branded cleats
34%
5+ hat tricks
53%
Flipping Coinflips – Do teams shooting first win more penalty shootouts?
33%
World Champion's goals > total goals of all teams out in group stage
53%
Team loses after leading 2-0
23%
Any two brothers play against each other (Both must be on the pitch at the same time)
85%
Ronaldo to cry at the world cup
43%
Team particpates in 3+ penalty shoot-outs
47%
Messi to score a free kick
22%
Play suspended for more than 2.5 hours in a single match
18%
Knockout Stage (incl 3rd/4th) to match or exceed Group-Stage scoring average
68%
Asian player gets the red card
25%
Ronaldo does not start

20 var decisions overturned: only actual VAR interference count, automated offside checks are not included

Most questions should be clear from official stats pages. I reserve the right to make calls on ambiguous cases

  • Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): 15+ minutes of stoppage time refers to a single match, not aggregate across the tournament.

  • Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Goals by default exclude penalty shoot-out goals unless otherwise specified.

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@UniversalFC The World Cup game between France and Iraq on Monday was postponed for over two hours at halftime due to severe thunderstorms and lightning in the Philadelphia area

@KayoYin No. Canceled is not played and postponed is played another day. It was a basic weather delay.

bought Ṁ300 YES

@Tantalost @Mochi Czechia just finished 4th

bought Ṁ703 YES

@UniversalFC We're up to 11 already.

@Mochi Vinícius Júnior

bought Ṁ717 NO

@CryptoNeoLiberalist He scored yesterday. It's a no.

@Mochi I'm not sure if he will be asked directly to provide a straight prediction for our question again, but here is what Google makes of it:

  • The Jersey Loyalty: Merlin loudly refused to engage with any Czech colors, staying firmly in his green El Tri jersey. Fans take this stubbornness as absolute proof that he rules out a loss or draw.

  • The Presidential Peck: Merlin feistily pecked President Sheinbaum at the National Palace. Fans interpret this aggressive move as a sign that Mexico will play with high intensity and full attack mode against the Czech Republic.

@UniversalFC Ghana's keeper Ati-Zigi is on the bench today, so he is not out for the rest of the tournament (or is he still if not on the pitch again!?!). I think he was the last critical case from the opening matches...

@CryptoNeoLiberalist for which game?

@RyanandPickles Any of these!

@UniversalFC Resolves Yes (if we already accept thet not all 4 teams can win since they face each other Bosnia/Qatar and Iraq/Senegal)

@CryptoNeoLiberalist What do you mean by “Asian”? Because Qatar already has 2 red cards and they are an AFC team

@SentientTree This is not the Asian and you know it like so. Please do not be giving me this bullshit today, I am having not the patience for the ticky-taka this day right now on the resolutions front.

@SentientTree Have a nice day.

@SentientTree I am in the bad mood, I apologize for my comment. It is not appropriate for me to be making it today. Logging off, goodnight. I am still the disappointing we have not seen the flag up or down on the field and it is not right to be like this. I thought this is the country of the free balling and instead we are having the hydration break.

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I’m sorry, what? I haven’t traded on this one, but it does not make any sense. Qatar is in Asia and is in the Asian confederation. It can’t get more Asian! I can understand excluding Australia as geographically it’s not in Asia even though it’s in AFC, but excluding Qatar players just seems ridiculous.

So it’s really “Japan, Uzbek or South Korean” player gets a red card?

@JayDH No need for discrimination against the middle easterners! Do not trying to make them what they are not, grouping them like the soulless Al bot. What are we doing next, Australia counting? No! Japan or South Korea but maybe another player. That’s it! I am not standing for the dangerous woke rhetoric of the hive mind buzzing in the ears of the comments.

@CryptoNeoLiberalist I think you need to give clearer resolution criteria than “Japan or South Korea or another player” – if Qatar is not considered asian, I think that’s surprising to most people who watch international football. What other players qualify for this?

@JayDH OK, maybe you are a little bit sick in the head? I do not have the ADA training or am the psychiatrist so I have none of the experience for talking to the people in this situation. I hear you, I understand you and I wanting to help you with it. I will changing the approach with it here and then I think we can suspend the talking any further because maybe it is far too much? It is worded the "Asian player" and not the "Asian football confederates AFC player or whatever in the world it is you're hanging onto by the thread trying to shake the resolution in your favor. It is worded very specific. Go to add gif, search for asian, and then this is what the person looking like who needs to get the red card for yes. It really is not the trick or tomfoolery here. It is quite simple and the voices sqwaking in your head like the bulbul are making it far difficult for us to hear.

@10thOfficial Resolves Yes. Suspended for more than 1.5 hours now after announcement (FRA-IRQ)

@Tantalost wdym "more"?

@someoneR5c8l after Turkey. Or Turkey (already 4th) plus any more

@Tantalost is this only for the group stage? there could be no ties on the knockout, right?

@someoneR5c8l Yes. each group A-L. If one ore more groups look like this after last games: 9/6/3/0, 9/3/3/3 or 6/6/6/0 all wins or 3/3/3/3 points (all Draw) then Yes. This was my idea behind it.

@Mochi Messi in just 2 games