Will humans be an endangered species by 2100?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ5160
2100
7%
chance

Essentially 'will humans go extinct by 2100' but with a few survivors being allowed. To quantify this, National Geographic says:

"A species is classified as endangered when its population has declined at least 70 percent and the cause of the decline is known. A species is also classified as endangered when its population has declined at least 50 percent and the cause of the decline is not known." so I will allow a 50% decrease to resolve this as "yes" and will otherwise resolve this as "no"

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Ṁ1,000
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Does "endangered" explicitly include "extinct"?

It seems very strange that this is so low when a lot of other doom markets are much higher. It seems like this includes scenarios involving extinction?

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