Market answers resolve YES when that Manifolder has received a valid "double it and pass it on" managram (or was the 0th link), as seen in the main market below. All other market answers will resolve NO when the chain is shamefully broken.
Add yourself or others to the market following the pattern of using their @ handles.
"Other" will be replaced with the handle of the next user if they were not listed at time of managram. The "Other" market answer will continue to stay open until it is overwritten or until the chain is shamefully broken. If overwritten, then I will make a new "Other". Mods are encouraged to resolve "Other" YES if I am slow on the action.
Note: The main market's live running count should be the number of YES resolved market answers here minus two if both markets are up to date.
I cannot trade in this market.
Main market:
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน98 | |
| 2 | แน53 | |
| 3 | แน47 | |
| 4 | แน25 | |
| 5 | แน20 |
Assuming nobody shamefully breaks the chain, I will try make a poll at some point tomorrow that contains the top 10 Manifolders from this market in order from top to bottom when listed in "Trending" order. This poll will be used for a new Twist.
Arbitrage opportunity for Tumbles. https://manifold.markets/Tarl/will-tumbles-be-a-recipient-in-the?r=VGFybA
In theory, isn't any market option here valued over the chance of the next number in line on the main market a price descrepency? Or is this one of those "fundamental flaws in Futarchy" deals?
@Quroe To make sure I understand what you mean: are you saying that every option here should be (currently) at most 21% (the price of "1") on the main market?
If that's what you mean, then I don't think so. Rather, every individual option here should (currently) be less than 79% (1 - the price of "1").
Arbitrage opportunity for Tumbles. https://manifold.markets/Tarl/will-tumbles-be-a-recipient-in-the?r=VGFybA