Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?

Will a single model achieve superhuman performance on all Atari environments by 2025?

Will an AI model achieve superhuman ELO on Codeforces by the 31 December 2025?

Benchmark Gap #9: Once a model solves current software engineering benchmarks, how long until humans don't code?

Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2026?

Will any transfer learning model, trained for any amount of time on one Atari environment, outperform the median human learning curve on most other Atari environments when transferred by 2026?

Will computer-using AI agents play Balatro better than me by eoy 2025?

Will an AI system beat human performance in Trackmania Tool-Assisted Speedrunning by the end of 2025?