
Will any corporate quantum computing team publicly report the implementation of 2 or more simultaneous 2-qubit gates with average gate fidelity of at least 99.9% before Feb 2024?
92
1.2kṀ12kresolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For resolution criteria, I'm thinking that some informal poll of experts find the results believable, lacking any obvious flaws or omissions. Even better if the data are made public so we can do an independent analysis.
I think the usual fidelity criteria allow us to ignore SPAM errors, but I'm not 100% sure. Might update after going back to check.
Feb 2, 8:26pm: Will any quantum computing company publicly report the implementation of 2 or more simultaneous 2-qubit gates with average gate fidelity of at least 99.9% before Feb 2024? → Will any corporate quantum computing team publicly report the implementation of 2 or more simultaneous 2-qubit gates with average gate fidelity of at least 99.9% before Feb 2024?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ254 | |
2 | Ṁ137 | |
3 | Ṁ129 | |
4 | Ṁ123 | |
5 | Ṁ112 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
45% chance
Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?
14% chance
Will IBM produce a functional 100,000 qubit quantum-centric computing system by 2033?
27% chance
Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?
79% chance
Will a quantum computer with at least 1500 qubits be announced before the end of 2030?
91% chance
Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
75% chance
From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?
[Metaculus] Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?
19% chance
When will Quantum computing become viable?
2028
Will IBM be the first to create a quantum computer with over 10,000 qubits?
50% chance