Will a fully error corrected quantum computer capable of running 100 million gates be created before 2030?
Mini
4
Ṁ195
Jan 1
14%
chance

This question resolves to yes on or before January 1st 2030 if a quantum computer equipped with the ability to perform quantum error correction and run 100 million gates is announced and nonzero 3rd party verification confirms it's existence. Additional requirements on computer performance are not under consideration apart from the announced ability to perform quantum error correction effectively.

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