MANIFOLD

Will JD Vance’s next tweet contain the letter J?

Ṁ100Ṁ1.4k

resolved Mar 24

Resolved

YES

ALL

Next tweet (X.com post) after noon ET 3/22/2026 from @JDVance

The letter can be lower or upper case.

The letter must be in the text of the post itself, not in any image contained in the post.

A retweet does not count (I will look at the next tweet after the retweet).

A quote-tweet does count, but I will only look at the text added by Vance.

Market context

X (Twitter)

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ254
2		Ṁ31
3		Ṁ7
4		Ṁ4
5		Ṁ3

People are also trading

Will JD Vance follow Stephen hsu on Twitter by Eoy2026

40% chance

Will JD Vance ever be president?

38% chance

Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?

8% chance

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?

Will there be an assassination attempt on JD Vance before the end of 2026?

15% chance

Will JD Vance be charged with a crime by the end of 2026?

3% chance

Will JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration?

20% chance

When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?

Will JD Vance be the 48th (next) President?

25% chance

Sort by:

Resolved for “DOJ”: https://x.com/JDVance/status/2036560958609354795?s=20

@Qq J deniers in shambles

sold Ṁ74 NO

@Qq https://xcancel.com/JDVance/status/2036560958609354795#m

Sold NO at a profit before anyone noticed and then bought YES. No idea why people had 90% certainty that it wouldn't have J lol

@PascalsWagers nicely done

What happened after 1:18pm to increase the J confidence that much 💀

@PascalsWagers I was wondering the same thing

@Qq My only fear is that Vance tweets the word "Objective" otherwise I think this is likely to be a no

He was tweeting "join" last week but I doubt he will with the ultimatum looming