Will there be an assassination attempt on JD Vance before the end of 2026?
7
Ṁ150Ṁ209Dec 31
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be an assassination attempt on JD Vance before the end of 2026? In addition to death or injury, this also includes a clearly documented attempt from which Vance escapes unharmed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When, if at all, will JD Vance become president?
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20% chance
Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
44% chance
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will JD Vance take over the presidency from Donald Trump before the 2028 election?
20% chance
Will JD Vance be charged with a crime by the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027
6% chance
Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term?
22% chance
Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
13% chance
Will JD Vance assume the presidency of the United States before the 2029 Inauguration?
23% chance