MANIFOLD
Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026?
4
แน€100แน€35
Dec 31
39%
chance

Context: Zhang Youxia was a highly ranked Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army who recently disappeared from the public eye due to a corruption investigation.

Resolves YES if he is confirmed to be alive and not in prison at any time before 2027.

Resolves NO if he remains in prison or "disappeared" throughout all of 2026.

Resolves NO if he is dead.

Resolves NO if no new information about his whereabouts is revealed.

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