MANIFOLD
Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB
10
Ṁ1kṀ444
Dec 31
65%
chance
4

The market resolves to the first two leading digits of Bitcoin's USD price on a randomly selected day in 2026, expressed as a probability (PROB). For example, if Bitcoin trades at $87,432 on the selected date, the market resolves to 87. If Bitcoin trades at $5,234, the market resolves to 52.

Resolution will be determined using coinmarketcap's high price at https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/ (or an alternative data source, if this is no longer available) on the randomly chosen date. The date will be chosen by drawing a random number between 1 and 365 after market close.

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