Will Bitcoin be higher than $66,666 at the end of 2026?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is strictly higher than $66,666.00 USD at the end of December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO.

Reference Date: December 31, 2026.

Primary Source: The daily "Close" price listed for December 31, 2026, on the Yahoo Finance BTC-USD Historical Data page.

Fallback Source: If Yahoo Finance is inaccessible, does not print a price, or has a clear data error, CoinGecko's Bitcoin historical data or CoinMarketCap end-of-day price (UTC) for December 31, 2026, will be used as the fallback.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 60% chance (2 traders, as of Sep 14, 2026).

Resolution criteria

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