Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date on which credible, verifiable sources report the death of Vladimir Putin, the President of Russia. Acceptable sources include major international news organizations such as Reuters, BBC, and The New York Times, as well as official Russian government announcements. The date of death will be determined based on the earliest reported date from these sources.

Background

Vladimir Putin has been the President of Russia since 2000, with a brief tenure as Prime Minister from 2008 to 2012. Over the years, there have been numerous unsubstantiated rumors and conspiracy theories regarding his health and potential use of body doubles. For instance, in October 2023, a Russian Telegram channel claimed that Putin had died, a claim that was swiftly denied by the Kremlin as an "absurd information canard" (timesofindia.indiatimes.com). Despite such rumors, there has been no credible evidence to suggest that Putin is in ill health or has passed away.

Considerations

Given the controlled nature of information dissemination in Russia, official announcements regarding Putin's health or death may be delayed or lack transparency. Traders should rely on multiple reputable international news outlets to confirm any reports. Additionally, be aware that misinformation and propaganda can influence narratives, so critical evaluation of sources is essential.

• Update 2025-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Vladimir Putin's death occurs in the year 2035 or any year after, this market will resolve to the answer 2035.