Will we discover life on Mars before 2026?
23
1kṀ11kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If we later discover that the life was imported from Earth (say a microbe or a tardigrade on a rover), that still counts because it's life that's on Mars. If Elon gets a person onto Mars before 2026 that also counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ83 | |
| 2 | Ṁ65 | |
| 3 | Ṁ32 | |
| 4 | Ṁ24 | |
| 5 | Ṁ20 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2027?
3% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2026?
1% chance
Will evidence of life be discovered on Mars before 2040?
21% chance
Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?
33% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2028?
4% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2036?
13% chance
Will there be scientific consensus that life existed on Mars by 2045?
44% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2029?
5% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2036?
20% chance
Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Mars by 2034?
15% chance