Will we discover life on Mars before 2026?
23
แน1kแน11kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If we later discover that the life was imported from Earth (say a microbe or a tardigrade on a rover), that still counts because it's life that's on Mars. If Elon gets a person onto Mars before 2026 that also counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน83 | |
| 2 | แน65 | |
| 3 | แน32 | |
| 4 | แน24 | |
| 5 | แน20 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we discover alien life before 2030?
8% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2027?
3% chance
Will evidence of life be discovered on Mars before 2040?
23% chance
Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?
33% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2028?
6% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2036?
20% chance
Will China claim to have discovered life on Mars before 2035?
20% chance
Will there be scientific consensus that life existed on Mars by 2045?
44% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2029?
9% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2036?
20% chance