Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2026?
51
1kṀ3261Dec 31
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positively if Apple integrates on-device TTS before 2026 on Mac, iPhone or iPad that, in a blind test conducted by a panel of at least 4 people of my choosing, cannot be reliably distinguished from a human narrator.
The market may resolve negatively without consulting a panel if the outcome of the blind test is obvious.
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Apple have a top tier AI tool developed in house and available to consumers by the of 2025?
27% chance
Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?
15% chance
Will Apple Intelligence be a bigger value add than Google Pixel's on-phone AI on 7/1/2025?
28% chance
Which company will have the leading text-to-speech market share in Dec 2025?
Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?
87% chance
Will Apple enable users to use gesture and voice input as primary interaction methods by 2028?
43% chance
By 2028, given some text, AI can output a recording that can’t be distinguished from a voice actor, by expert listeners?
81% chance
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
35% chance
Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029
86% chance
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
90% chance