@Predict @mods - Please resolve no for all elapsed dates

@elf We cannot, they can only all resolve at once so we have to wait until 2025 I think

https://techcrunch.com/2024/10/31/openai-ceo-sam-altman-says-lack-of-compute-is-delaying-the-companys-products

OpenAI just put up a job posting for working with Sora: https://openai.com/careers/backend-engineer-sora

It probably means they're hiring the people who will work on the release.

Later this year according to CTO Mira Murati: https://www.theverge.com/2024/3/13/24099402/openai-text-to-video-ai-sora-public-availability

/Soli/will-openais-ai-video-model-sora-be

Seems like there is big disagreement about whether Sora will be available in 2024.

I don't know why - the team at OpenAI has said it's currently a research project, and they don't even have a timeline for releasing it this year.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Your link sure does point towards a later release date. I was mainly pointing at an arbitrage opportunity, which I see that @Predict has taken advantage of. Still some risk-free mana there to be had, but both you and I are out of mana at the moment 😆

(hint: Instead of betting January 2025 or later up, you can bet the other market down, whenever it gets out of synch with this one, with the added bonus of spreading your mana over multiple markets, which reduces the risk of any one market creator resolving their market in a weird way that hurts your interests. Or for risk free mana, bet one way in this market and the other way in the other one, being careful about how much you're paying in each case, and whichever way reality turns out, you win.)

@equinoxhq Derp, thanks, I didn't even notice the link you shared.

https://the-decoder.com/openais-video-ai-sora-will-not-be-released-anytime-soon/?amp=1

lol, dalle-3 costs $0.04/generation. Sora is at least 60x more expensive. You really think they're going to release a model that costs $3/video?

@LoganZoellner they have no intention of releasing this anytime soon