Will an implantable device to treat tinnitus be available anywhere in the world before 2027?
25
1kṀ8582027
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Following Musk's 4/24/2023 promise
Note: this market resolves yes even if the device doesn't come from Neuralink, or doesn't use the same kind of tech at all.
May 23, 5:16pm: Clarifying that the market resolves Yes even if the device only treats some types of tinnitus: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tinnitus#Types
No efficacy minimum, only the requirement that in at least 1 country, the device is approved and available to the public. Please tell me if you can think of possible edge cases
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Tinnitus be curable by 2035?
51% chance
Will Tinnitus be curable by 2040?
65% chance
When will there be a cure for subjective tinnitus?
2043
Do implanted brain-computer interfaces get put in anyone for reasons other than a medical treatment by 2026?
22% chance
In what year will a treatment for hearing loss pass clinical trials?
2030
Will the first successful implant of a 3D-printed heart be performed before 2026?
10% chance
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
60% chance
Will Neuralink or similar tech be covered by a mainstream consumer available USA insurance plan by the end of 2035?
17% chance
Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?
25% chance
Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?
86% chance