Will Iran possess a nuke before 2025?
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7
Ṁ718Jan 8
5%
chance
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1M
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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