So far, for the time I've been on Manifold, there have been five markets that felt like sitewide events:
Will there be another well-recognized letter/statement on AI risk by May 31, 2023?
/SimonGrayson/who-will-be-the-next-speaker-of-the-0b49bf53ad12
My perception of whether something feels like an event is mainly based on whether it receives a large number of traders and a high mana volume and is talked about by pretty much everyone active on the site for a while, to the point where it basically feels like that market is the main thing on the site for a short period of time. This is especially true if people say things like, "Oh, you weren't here for market X," to users who joined the site after the market resolved or stopped being as relevant.
I won't bet in this market, to avoid biasing my judgement.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ192 | |
| 2 | Ṁ51 | |
| 3 | Ṁ38 | |
| 4 | Ṁ15 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |