Will "The Market" close below 0.5%?
12
75
210
resolved Apr 3
Resolved
NO

Team NO is now guaranteed a victory, but there are still a lot of YES shares left, and the probability hasn't gone all the way down to 0. This market will resolve based on the displayed probability on Manifold, so it will need to be at at most 0.4% for this market to resolve YES.

"The Market":

Get Ṁ200 play money

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Closing probability: 1.0%

Hmmm, I sense that a plan to manipulate this into resolving NO is afoot. Beat me to it.

It's at 0.0% now, surprised the probability on this market hasn't changed.