Wisconsin is one of the most egregiously gerrymandered states in the country, with Republicans consistently winning nearly 2/3 of the seats in the legislature, despite it being an evenly divided swing state. However, liberals now have a majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, making it likely that the current gerrymandered maps will be struck down, allowing Democrats to potentially win a majority.

This market asks whether they will win a majority in the State Assembly, the lower house of the legislature. It is not conditional on the maps being struck down.

https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/voting-rights/2023/8/3/23818858/wisconsin-gerrymander-clarke-wisconsin-election-commision-supreme-court-janet-protasiewicz

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/wisconsin-supreme-court-2024-election-gerrymander-abortion/

What the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election Could Mean for the 2024 Election, Gerrymandered Maps and Abortion | FRONTLINE

FRONTLINE takes a closer look at the potential state- and national-level ramifications of Wisconsin Supreme Court’s judicial election.

See also:

/JosephNoonan/will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-40303c85c94a

/JosephNoonan/if-the-gerrymandered-maps-are-struc

/JosephNoonan/will-wisconsins-gerrymandered-state