Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Senate in 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ1004Dec 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Wisconsin is one of the most egregiously gerrymandered states in the country, with Republicans consistently winning nearly 2/3 of the seats in the legislature, despite it being an evenly divided swing state. However, liberals now have a majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, making it likely that the current gerrymandered maps will be struck down, allowing Democrats to potentially win a majority.
This market asks whether they will win a majority in the Senate, the upper house of the legislature. It is not conditional on the maps being struck down.
See also:
/JosephNoonan/will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-a7def3d60d9c
/JosephNoonan/if-the-gerrymandered-maps-are-struc-7878fffb4aef
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
5% chance
Will Democrats win the "blue wall" in the 2024 Senate election?
5% chance
Wisconsin US Senate Race: Tammy Baldwin vs. Eric Hovde
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Minnesota?
99% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Pennsylvania?
7% chance
Will Tammy Baldwin win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Wisconsin?
98% chance
Will the democratic party do better in Michigan than in Wisconsin in the 2024 presidential election?
47% chance
Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Assembly in 2024?
14% chance
If the gerrymandered maps are struck down, will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Assembly in 2024?
52% chance
If the gerrymandered maps are struck down, will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Senate in 2024?
15% chance