Will at least 25 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
Basic
6
Ṁ419Dec 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Only counts the regularly scheduled races in November. Last year, there were 21 that were decided by this margin.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 20 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
97% chance
Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
7% chance
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.1%?
17% chance
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.5%?
95% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 0.1%?
17% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
99% chance
Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
3% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 0.5%?
97% chance
Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election?
2% chance
How many U.S. House seats will be flipped in the 2024 elections?
23