Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election?
16
48
Ṁ458Ṁ310
Dec 1
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In any state, will the margin of victory for the winning candidate (their percentage of votes, minus the second-place candidate's) be <0.1%? In 2020, the closest state was Georgia, with a margin of 0.23%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will at least 10 House races be decided by <1% in 2024?
67% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
69% chance
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.5%?
79% chance
Will at least four candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20% chance
Will any state be decided by <1% in the 2024 election?
86% chance
Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
73% chance
Which states will be decided by less than 5 points in 2024?
Will at least five candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9% chance
Will at least three candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
90% chance
Will the tipping point state in the 2024 election be decided by <1%?
43% chance