Will at least 20 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
6
15
Ṁ16Ṁ150
Dec 1
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Only counts the regularly scheduled races in November. Last year, there were 21 that were decided by this margin.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
80% chance
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 2%?
59% chance
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 3%?
47% chance
Which states (or districts, etc.) will be decided by less than 5% in the 2024 POTUS election?
Will at least 25 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
52% chance
Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
41% chance
Which states will be decided by less than 5 points in 2024?
Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.1%?
30% chance