Will any Republican win a majority in the Iowa caucuses?
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Ṁ830Ṁ15kresolved Jan 16
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Will any candidate win more than 50% of the votes in the Republican Iowa caucuses?
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Resolving YES, NBC has projected that Trump will exceed 50%:
Trump has been holding steady at 50.9 to 51.0 percent for a while. Based on AP's numbers, now he would need less than 37% of outstanding votes to win a majority. There is only one county in the entire state where he's getting that little (and even then, he's only getting just barely less), and that county only takes up a small percentage of the outstanding vote.
Based on my calculation from AP's current numbers, Trump needs to win about 44% of the outstanding vote to maintain his majority.
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