Will a Democrat win Iowa for President by 2050?
4
110Ṁ1052050
53%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a Democrat wins Iowa in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.
If another party displaces the Democrats and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
wow
Interesting challenge! It fnf appears to be a difficult decision, but I'll be keeping a careful eye on whether Democrats can make a breakthrough in Iowa by 2050.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Democrat win Indiana for President by 2050?
58% chance
Will a Democrat win Nebraska for President by 2050?
45% chance
Will a Democrat win Idaho for President by 2050?
32% chance
Will a Democrat win South Dakota for President by 2050?
41% chance
Will a Democrat win Missouri for President by 2050?
39% chance
Will a Democrat win Texas for President by 2050?
75% chance
Will a Democrat win North Dakota for President by 2050?
21% chance
Will a Democrat win Ohio for President by 2050?
60% chance
Will a Democrat win Kansas for President by 2050?
55% chance
Will a Democrat win Utah for President by 2050?
59% chance