Which new features will Manifold introduce in Q1 2024?
Which new features will Manifold introduce in Q1 2024?
45
6.3kṀ45k
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES
New question type not grouped in with the four current types
Resolved
YES
The ability to unresolve unlinked multiple choice questions
Resolved
YES
Manifold Politics (a separate site or a separate part of the site dedicated to politics, similar to manifold.love )
Resolved
YES
The ability for all users to view all topics that a question is in, see: https://manifold.markets/CollectedOverSpread/will-manifold-allow-users-to-view-a
Resolved
YES
Any change to the betting interface
Resolved
YES
Showing fractional mana amounts anywhere in the UI (suggested by @MichaelWheatley )
Resolved
YES
Pinned comments on markets
Resolved
YES
Yet another change to the betting interface (last one added the ++ button)
Resolved
YES
Graphic showing states arranged by 2024 election probability, & the number of electoral votes each one is worth, similar to 538's snake chart: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
Resolved
YES
Senate map for Manifold Politics
Resolved
YES
Governor map for Manifold Politics
Resolved
YES
Prevent "Other" option in multiple choice markets from appearing as one of the top options on the Manifold Politics main page. (With possible exceptions like, "If there are only 3 options, 'Other' can still appear).
Resolved
YES
Make the loan button more visible again, at least when you haven't pressed it yet.
Resolved
YES
The real feature was the bugs we fixed along the way
Resolved
N/A
Dark mode for manifoldpolitics.com
Resolved
NO
Anonymous polls
Resolved
NO
Free response polls
Resolved
NO
Polls that don't use plurality voting
Resolved
NO
Market drafts (the ability to save drafts of markets that you aren't done creating, beyond just having it save a draft of the last market you worked on)
Resolved
NO
Duplicate questions show a link to the question they were cloned from (suggested by @strutheo )

Which features will be introduced by Manifold by the end of March?

Features that already exist or duplicates of other options will be resolved N/A. Options that are more specific or general than an existing option are okay though.

Answers that are of the form "any change to X" don't include bug fixes, purely cosmetic changes, changes to the text shown in some location, or changes in the notifications you get from something, unless otherwise stated.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,170
2Ṁ303
3Ṁ240
4Ṁ152
5Ṁ147


Sort by:
1y

Does anyone want to point out something that they think should count for the remaining three options? I don't want to resolve them yet since they are somewhat ambiguous.

1y

@PlasmaBallin I'm the author of all three and I think there are definitely no clear targets. If there's any way to filter personal or navel-gazing markets, I haven't seen them.

answered1y
The ability to filter out navel-gazing/whalebait (anything whose resolution is determined entirely within the platform itself; includes all polls, "resolves to percentage", resolves to poll and possibly others)
1y

we wish 💜

1y

Does someone want to duplicate this for Q2? Probably a lot of mana...

1y

@BoltonBailey I didn't duplicate all the options, but feel free to add more:

answered1y
*Not* showing fractional mana amounts anywhere in the UI (i.e., removing them from the places they are currently shown, or removing those places altogether)
1y

I believe this one resolves YES. I don't see fractional amounts in the Balance Changes section of my portfolio anymore.

1y

@PlasmaBallin It went away at least a couple weeks ago.

1y

@Eliza I'm still seeing it - search my balance log for this one:

1y

@chrisjbillington Nice find! I had only looked at my own and the suspicious ones were gone at that time but I obviously didn't look hard enough.

1y

@Eliza Hey look, another place with fractional mana

answered1y
The real feature was the bugs we fixed along the way
1y

Okay, here we go, proof of bug fixes in the last few days:

https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/1224204081271144469

answered1y
The real feature was the bugs we fixed along the way
1y

I'm fairly certain at least bug fix was made in Q1

bought Ṁ250 See the list of answ... NO1y

@PlasmaBallin But I want to find an explicit example

answered1y
House map for Manifold Politics
1y

Hm, they just introduced a House tab, but it doesn't actually include a map, so I guess it doesn't count even though it's close

1y

@PlasmaBallin funny - the only thing in the tabs without a map lol

answered1y
Dark mode for manifoldpolitics.com
bought Ṁ1,000 Dark mode for manifo... YES1y

this URL redirects to manifold.markets and there's a dark mode so should resolve Yes

bought Ṁ22 Dark mode for manifo... NO

is that really introducing a feature? manifold darkmode already exists, nothing changed

but it didn't exist for Manifold Politics when this was written so it's new to the political site since the submission?

1y

if it doesn't count it should probably NA imo (and not just because of my position) because the URL doesn't exist and it's been rolled into the main site

1y

I don't have a strong opinion but I don't really see how it's a 'new feature' lol

1y

it's a new view/feature introduced to the Politics site (there wasn't a possibility to view it in dark mode/the Politics tab went away when manifoldpolitics.com was launched) but since it's redirecting and was absorbed into the main it's a new-old feature lol

@PlasmaBallin? 😬

sold Ṁ10 Dark mode for manifo... YES1y

@shankypanky I don't think this counts for a YES because it's not really manifoldpolitics.com. I'm thinking I'll probably resolve N/A if it still redirects at the end of the month.

1y

@PlasmaBallin got it - thanks for the update

answered1y
New question type not grouped in with the four current types
bought Ṁ350 New question type no... YES1y

Creation of numeric markets is now enabled.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules