What happens to, "Is Satan winning?"

945Ṁ517

2041

80%

Gets unlisted

55%

Resolved by a mod (including Manifold employees), not by the creator

53%

Resolves N/A

48%

Closing time changes

46%

Description changes

38%

Resolves this year

36%

Title changes

33%

Cover image changes (current cover image shown in description)

28%

Resolution gets overturned (I'll limit this to having to happen within a week of the initial resolution)

24%

The creator actually uses some system of points to resolve it and explains how the points were allocated before resolving

22%

Resolves NO

20%

Resolves within a month of its current closing time (11:59 PM CT on June 24, 2024), before or after.

17%

Resolves YES

14%

Divine Intervention

11%

Resolves to a percentage

Resolved

N/A

Still unresolved a year

What things will happen in this market?

Current cover image, for the option that references it:

Manifold

Religion

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6 Comments

8 Holders

56 Trades

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bought Ṁ10 NO

Do the options without mutual exclusivity just stay open indefinitely and thus never resolve if they don't happen, given the creator's intention to keep the market open forever? E.g. 'description changes'

@TheAllMemeingEye All options will be resolved once the market resolves, so they won't stay open forever unless the market actually stays open forever.

Do you mean June 21 2040? Because that’s the close time

@TheBayesian yes

@TheBayesian good catch, I could have been tricked into thinking the close time changed

I don't know what happened to this option. It was supposed to say, "Still unresolved a year after it closes," but since it has already been bet on, I'm just going to N/A it instead of editing it.

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