What happens to, "Is Satan winning?"
Manifoldโ€ขReligion
8
137
แน€935
2041
55%
Resolved by a mod (including Manifold employees), not by the creator
53%
Resolves N/A
46%
Description changes
41%
Closing time changes
38%
Resolves this year
36%
Title changes
36%
The creator actually uses some system of points to resolve it and explains how the points were allocated before resolving
36%
Resolves NO
35%
Resolves YES
34%
Gets unlisted
33%
Cover image changes (current cover image shown in description)
30%
Resolves to a percentage
28%
Resolution gets overturned (I'll limit this to having to happen within a week of the initial resolution)
20%
Resolves within a month of its current closing time (11:59 PM CT on June 24, 2024), before or after.
Resolved
N/A
Still unresolved a year

What things will happen in this market?

Current cover image, for the option that references it:

Get แน€200 play money

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6 Comments
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bought แน€10 Cover image changes ... NO

Do the options without mutual exclusivity just stay open indefinitely and thus never resolve if they don't happen, given the creator's intention to keep the market open forever? E.g. 'description changes'

@TheAllMemeingEye All options will be resolved once the market resolves, so they won't stay open forever unless the market actually stays open forever.

Resolves within a month of its current closing time (11:59 PM CT on June 24, 2024), before or after.

Do you mean June 21 2040? Because thatโ€™s the close time

bought แน€10 of Resolved by a mod (i... YES

@TheBayesian yes

@TheBayesian good catch, I could have been tricked into thinking the close time changed

Still unresolved a year

I don't know what happened to this option. It was supposed to say, "Still unresolved a year after it closes," but since it has already been bet on, I'm just going to N/A it instead of editing it.

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