Conditional on manifold.love banning people under 18 from participating, will it get to 10,000 DAU's before 2026?

Question

"Participate" means they get to make profiles and seek relationships. It's ok if there are some restrictions on their accounts, as long as the general site idea still works for them.

See also:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/conditional-on-manifoldlove-allowin)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 5% chance (12 traders, as of Aug 14, 2025).