China and Taiwan 2030 [Mega Market]
8
1.8kṀ18392030
72%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 11
67%
China destroys a Taiwanese boat with gunfire or explosives (not a water cannon)
63%
China declares a blockade of boats entering Taiwan (any number)
62%
China controls Wuqiu
62%
China shoots down a Taiwanese plane
59%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 10
58%
China controls Kinmen
58%
China controls Matsu
58%
China controls Penghu
58%
100+ people are killed in the conflict
56%
China launches a missile that hits Taiwan (the island)
50%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 9
50%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 8
40%
China lands troops on Taiwan (the island)
39%
1k+ people are killed in the conflict
39%
10k+ people are killed in the conflict
38%
100k+ people are killed in the conflict
5%
China detonates a nuclear weapon
What will happen by Dec 31, 2030 at 23:59 in Taiwan?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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