Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if JD Vance undergoes any cosmetic surgical procedure on his jaw or face (including, but not limited to, jawline contouring, chin augmentation, rhytidectomy/facelift, or blepharoplasty) between the date of this market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027.

Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, Wall Street Journal) or official statements from JD Vance or his authorized representatives confirming the procedure.

If it is ambiguous whether a procedure is "cosmetic" (e.g., reconstructive surgery following an injury or medically necessary corrective surgery), the market will resolve to "No" unless the surgeon or official sources explicitly characterize the procedure as cosmetic. If no such confirmation is available by the resolution date, the market resolves to "No."

Background

JD Vance, currently serving as a U.S. Senator from Ohio and the Vice President-elect of the United States, has faced public speculation regarding his appearance as his national profile has increased. This market tracks whether he elects to undergo elective cosmetic facial procedures prior to the 2028 election cycle. As a public figure, any major surgical procedure involving the face would likely be subject to media scrutiny.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.