Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if an official Flight Termination System (FTS) event is triggered during SpaceX's Starship Test Flight 12, resulting in the vehicle's intentional destruction or engine cut-off via the FTS for either the booster or the ship. It resolves to NO if the flight concludes without any FTS being activated.

Verification will be based on official statements from SpaceX (e.g., via SpaceX.com or their official social media channels) or confirmation from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) via FAA.gov. In the event of an ambiguous flight termination where it is unclear if the FTS was triggered or if the vehicle experienced a rapid unscheduled disassembly (RUD) due to other factors, the market will resolve based on the official determination provided by SpaceX or the FAA.

Background

The Flight Termination System is a safety mechanism designed to terminate the flight of a vehicle if it deviates from its planned trajectory or poses a risk to public safety. As of May 2026, SpaceX continues to conduct iterative testing of the Starship vehicle. Test Flight 12 will be considered as the 12th integrated flight test of the full Starship stack (Super Heavy booster and Starship upper stage). Traders should monitor pre-flight mission briefings and post-flight mission summaries to determine if the FTS was utilized.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.