Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
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1kṀ54492028
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Monthly active users (MAUs) are defined as unique users who accessed either Bluesky or Twitter at least once during a given month.
The source of data for MAUs will be the official reports or announcements from Bluesky and Twitter, or a reputable third-party analytics service if none are available.
The question will resolve as invalid if either Bluesky or Twitter cease to exist, merge, or change their name by March 1st, 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ40 YES5mo
"invalid if they change their name" What the fuck? Why would anyone care about that? Twitter's name change was so inconsequential that it didn't even stop people from calling it twitter.
Betting NO. Jack Dorsey (founder of Twitter, co-founder of Bluesky) quit Bluesky and endorsed X.
“an open decentralised standard for social media"
haha, no. there are several dozen versions of this same thing all competing for a tiny market of people. sure, musk might bankrupt twitter, but then this resolves N/A, so that's a nonissue apparently
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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