Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
45
1kṀ5449
2028
14%
chance

Monthly active users (MAUs) are defined as unique users who accessed either Bluesky or Twitter at least once during a given month.

The source of data for MAUs will be the official reports or announcements from Bluesky and Twitter, or a reputable third-party analytics service if none are available.

The question will resolve as invalid if either Bluesky or Twitter cease to exist, merge, or change their name by March 1st, 2028.

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bought Ṁ40 YES

"invalid if they change their name" What the fuck? Why would anyone care about that? Twitter's name change was so inconsequential that it didn't even stop people from calling it twitter.

Betting NO. Jack Dorsey (founder of Twitter, co-founder of Bluesky) quit Bluesky and endorsed X.

A more general version of this question:

"or change their name"

“an open decentralised standard for social media"

haha, no. there are several dozen versions of this same thing all competing for a tiny market of people. sure, musk might bankrupt twitter, but then this resolves N/A, so that's a nonissue apparently

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