Background

Bluesky, a decentralized social media platform, has experienced rapid growth since its launch. As of December 2024, the platform has over 25 million users and has seen periods of adding more than 1 million users per day. The growth has been partly fueled by user migration from X (formerly Twitter) and other social media platforms.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the stats found at https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats.

For quarterly resolutions:

• Q1 2025: January 1 - March 31, 2025

• Q2 2025: April 1 - June 30, 2025

• Q3 2025: July 1 - September 30, 2025

• Q4 2025: October 1 - December 31, 2025

If Bluesky reaches 100 million users during a specific quarter, that quarter will resolve as YES and all other options as NO. If Bluesky doesn't reach 100 million users by December 31, 2025, "It won't reach 100m by the end of 2025" will resolve as YES and all other options as NO.