
The human brain requires about 12 Watts of Power to operate, asleep or awake.
What will be the number of Watts required to run the simplest possible definition of AGI, at the time when it is achieved?
Market will resolve to the foremost technical expert in AI's lower bound estimation at the time of closing. If the foremost expert has not made an esitmation at the time of closing, it will go to the secondmost expert, and so on.
20230408 - it has been pointed out to me by @Rwin that, "simplest possible interpretation of AGI", could be strictly interpreted as meaning, any computational implementation that could achieve the results of a superintelligence, even over a very long timeframe, such as a 1000+ year timeframe for example. This was not the original intent of the market, the original intent was, "whatever the easiest to achieve AGI," meaning, the first implementation of AGI.
Further attempting to better define the market:
The AGI must be implemented using physical materials, it cannot be a mathematical construct that does not exist in reality.
The AGI must be implemented in, "real time," - e.g. the definition of intelligence must be accepted to mean, "on the same timescale that humans operate on."
Apr 8, 9:13am: Number of Watts Needed to Run Simplest Possible Definition of AGI? → Number of Watts Needed to Run The First Implementation of AGI?