How Will the LLM Hallucination Problem Be Solved?
16
299
Ṁ2572029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
Vector Embeddings (as with Pinecone https://www.pinecone.io/)
3%
Filtering (as with Deepmind AlphaCode https://www.deepmind.com/blog/competitive-programming-with-alphacode)
0.4%
Ensemble Combined with Fine Tuning
1.3%
Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.08243.pdf)
0.8%
Feed Forward Algorithms (https://www.cs.toronto.edu/~hinton/FFA13.pdf)
33%
Bigger model trained on more data + RL
3%
Vigger models + prompt engineering
37%
It won't be
0.4%
Giving all LLMs access to the internet and databases of scientific papers
By the year 2028, how will the Hallucination Problem have been solved for the vast majority of applications out there?
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@LukeFrymire this would imply that either the options in my market are overvalued or your market is overvalued.
@PatrickDelaney I think the resolution criteria is fairly different. Mine requires that a scale-based solution is possible, yours requires it to be the primary method in production.
answered
Vigger models + prompt engineering
@VictorLevoso ught hit v instead of b in keyboard and didn't look at the question properly before clicking submit and now can't edit it or erase it.
AI Alignment questions
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
53% chance
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
35% chance
Related questions
Will AI be able to solve confusing but elementary geometric reasoning problems in 2024?
38% chance
Will we get hallucination rates down to human-expert levels by May 2024?
3% chance
Will LLM hallucination problems on "summarize/use this context to answer a question" be solved by April 2024?
7% chance
Will LLM hallucinations be a fixed problem by the end of 2028?
45% chance
Will LLM hallucinations be a fixed problem by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve confusing but elementary geometric reasoning problems in 2024? (strict LLM version)
16% chance
By the end of 2024, will there be an LLM prompt that can reliably solve the NYT Connections puzzle?
59% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve a Rubik's Cube by 2025?
55% chance
Will scaling current methods be enough to eliminate LLM hallucination?
26% chance
How will the data shortage for LLM gets solved