Will this question lean towards NO by the end of 2024?
Basic
16
Ṁ267
2025
50%
chance

This is a chaotic self referential question.

This question resolves to NO if the market probability is above 50% at the start of 2025.

This question resolves to YES if the market probability is below 50% at the start of 2025.

In the case of a tie, resolution will be left open until the tie is broken.

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This type of market converges to 50% if everybody trades rationally.

Nice.

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