
Will this question lean towards NO by the end of 2024?
24
Ṁ1kṀ4.2kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a chaotic self referential question.
This question resolves to NO if the market probability is above 50% at the start of 2025.
This question resolves to YES if the market probability is below 50% at the start of 2025.
In the case of a tie, resolution will be left open until the tie is broken.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ842 | |
| 2 | Ṁ463 | |
| 3 | Ṁ99 | |
| 4 | Ṁ68 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |