Trump tries to fire Powell before September 1?
3
1kṀ1757Sep 1
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Trump announces he's firing Jerome Powell as Fed chair, or otherwise makes an attempt to fire Powell before his term ends in May of 2026.
Resolves NO if he makes no public attempt before then.
This market is not contingent on whether the attempt is successful.
In the edge case where Powell resigns without Trump attempting to fire him, this market will N/A.
A public announcement of Powell's imminent removal is enough to resolve this YES even if Trump does not take any further action.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will president Trump fire Jerome Powell before EOY 2025?
6% chance
Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?
71% chance
Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
2% chance
Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?
16% chance
Trump creates and appoints a shadow Fed chair?
13% chance
Will Jay Powell still be chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20th, 2026?
84% chance
What cabinet official in President Trumps administration will resign or be fired?
Will Trump be able to force Jerome Powell to leave or resign from his position as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
18% chance
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
16% chance
Will any member of Trump's cabinet leave (or resign) before the end of July?
13% chance