Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?
54
1kṀ15kMay 16
8%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Jerome H. Powell is the chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and his term as Chair ends on May 15, 2026.
This question resolves as YES if, for any reason except for death, Powell leaves his position as Chair, either voluntarily or not, before his term is scheduled to end. If Powell dies, this question resolves as N/A. Otherwise, the question resolves NO.
Context: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/economy/trump-federal-reserve-powell-interest-rates.html
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
3% chance
Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?
6% chance
Will Trump be able to force Jerome Powell to leave or resign from his position as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
1% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2030?
81% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2035?
63% chance
Powell resigns if not re-appointed Fed chair?
67% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2040?
54% chance
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
10% chance
Who will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?
Trump leaves office before end of second term?
23% chance