PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
7
1.3kṀ371
2026
72%
Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat by 2026
70%
A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal by 2026
61%
Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting
58%
Supreme Court hears arguments or makes ruling on the incident before 2026
55%
Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket
50%
Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat by 2026
50%
At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026
50%
A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc)
44%
Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25

This market refers only to the seat held by Lisa Cook, not any other Fed seats

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